A new study out of the European Commission Joint Research
Centre has released findings that indicate that illegal music downloads do not
have any significant effect on the number of legal music downloads.
Luis Aguiar
and Bertin Martins conducted the study, which used clickstream data in its
research. The researchers studied data based on country, which showed that
attitides and prevalence of piracy differs depending on home country. But one
consistent result was that while piracy does affect physical music sales, it
doesn’t seem to change the number of legal digital music sales.
“Perhaps surprisingly, our results present no evidence of
digital music sales displacement. While we find important cross country
differences in the effects of downloading on music purchases, our findings
suggest a rather small complementarity between these two music consumption
channels. It seems that the majority of the music that is consumed illegally by
the individuals in our sample would not have been purchased if illegal
downloading websites were not available to them.”
The study continued, siting that “The complementarity effect
of online streaming is found to be somewhat larger, suggesting a stimulating
effect of this activity on the sales of digital music.”
In other words, digital sales would be negatively affected
if illegal downloading sites weren’t also available. This lead the researchers
to determine that most of the music that was downloaded illegally was done so
for music that wouldn’t have been purchased anyway. Additionally, it appears
that those users who were most actively downloading music illegally were also
responsible for nearly twice as much legal streaming and downloads as those who
didn’t participate in illegal downloads.
Illegal music downloads remain frustrating to those in the
music industry, however, for a number of reasons. Many people do illegally
download music they might have bough otherwise, and it’s hard to measure that.
Outside the realm of music, too, there is are ethical and copyright
complications that arise when music is downloaded illegally. The music industry
as a whole might be doing alright, but there can be no question that illegal
downloads hurt individual artists—especially independent artists who really do
need the money—and that’s not okay.
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