For the first time since 1999, global
recorded music revenues are up. In 2012, revenue increased by 0.3% up to
$16.5 billion, and though that’s just a fraction of the $30 billion peaks in
the ‘90s, music industry experts are optimistic about the future. Piracy is
down, sales are rising, and things finally seem to be stabilizing.
Digital sales, including services like iTunes and Pandora,
grew by about 9%, bringing
in about $5.6 billion total. Because of the availability of free and legal
streaming services like Pandora and Spotify, users
are turning away from peer-to-peer downloading services like bitTorrent.
P2P services make it easy to contract computer viruses or spyware, whereas with
legal services users don’t have to worry about that. Legal streaming services
are also easier to use and access for quality music.
According to Russ Crupnick, who is senior vice president of
industry analysis at NPD, the next few years will lay the track for where the
music industry will go next. Much depends on the balance between digital music
purchases and streaming.
“To what extent can the industry keep paid digital revenues
up—the iTunes method of buying a track, buying an album?” he asks. “That’s
going to be very important in the next three to five years.”
For now, digital streaming and digital sales seem to be
balanced well. But more companies are looking to tap into free streaming
services, which could mean another shift. And that could be another hit for
artists. Current royalties from digital downloads (iTunes, etc.) are between 7
and 10 cents per track, whereas a song that is streamed digitally is only worth
a fraction of a penny.
“That’s one of the things that’s going to be a problem in
the future, if more people don’t feel the need to own everything.,” claims E.
Michael Harrington of the Future of Music Coalition Advisory Board. “People 40
and over might kind of want both… but a lot of people are just satisfied to say
“I can access it.’”
With how quickly music comes in and out these days, it
wouldn’t be overly surprising to see streaming continue to grow in popularity
while digital downloads slowed. Those who have a set of favorite music or
artists might find it easier to own certain albums, while those who morph with
the industry will probably continue streaming.
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